Monday, April 11, 2011

Update on April 10th NBA Picks


How last night turned out:
http://provenplays.com/PublicProfile.aspx?Profile=champs311


Dallas vs. Phoneix
Line: Dallas -9.5 and 206
Prediction: Dallas COVERS (100 points) and UNDER 206 (500 points)
Trends:
Favorite is 5-0 ATS last 5 meetings.
DALLAS is 5-1 ATS last 6 games when favored between 5 and 10 points.
OUTCOME:
http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/recap?gid=2011041006

DALLAS opened the game with a 36-17 first quarter and never looked back en route to a 115-90 win.
Thanks to a 36 point 3rd quarter, we were able to hold on for the UNDER as well by 1 point.
ATS WINNER +100 Points
O/U WINNER +500 Points


Sacramento vs. Golden State
Line: GS -5 and 218
Prediction: GS COVERS (200 points) and UNDER 218 (200 points)
Trends:
GS 4-1 ATS last 5 overall games.
KINGS 1-5 ATS last 6 meetings.
UNDER is 4-1 last 5 games KINGS were an underdog.
UNDER is 4-0 for games following a KINGS loss.
OUTCOME:
http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/recap?gid=2011041009

Unfortunately, the KINGS finally did something last night that they haven’t been able to do all season long. Sustain a comeback in the 4th quarter and come away with a victory. Thanks to a 27-20 4th quarter by the KINGS they were able to defeat GS 104-103.
The 1st half scares us a little (119 total points), but thanks to 41 and 47 point 3rd and 4th quarter we were able to get the UNDER we were looking for.
ATS LOSER -200 Points
O/U WINNER +200 Points

Oklahoma City vs. Los Angelos
Line: LA -5.5 and 192
Prediction: LA COVERS (200 points) and OVER 192 (200 points)
Trends:
LAKERS are 5-1 ATS last 6 when facing a team with a winning % over .600
Every trend looks to be pointing to the UNDER, I shouldn't be but I am going with the OVER.
OUTCOME:
http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/recap?gid=2011041013

LAKER fans better start to worthy about their team and the upcoming playoffs. Last night they lost their 5th straight game and produced a 4th quarter that they hope to soon forget. Thunder outscored LA 32-16 in the 4th and turned a close game into a runaway for OKC.
Even though the 4th quarter was one sided on the scoreboard; the rest of the game provided enough scoring for the total to hit the OVER.
ATS LOSER -200 Points
O/U WINNER +200 Points

Had a pretty nice run going 4-2 last night.

Last week I was able to go: (week of 4/4 to 4/10)
ATS 7-4 (64%)
O/U 11-8 (58%)
OVERALL 18-12 (60%)

For the whole year I am:
NBA overall record: 66-55 (55%)
NBA overall points: +3,600 Points
NBA Last 20 picks: 13-7 (65%)
NBA ATS 37-26 (59%)
NBA O/U 29-29 (50%)

With only 3 days left in the regular season, I look to finish strong starting with tonight with 11 games on the schedule.

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